Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.206969 3.775578 4.438575 5.274497 6.308416 7.555845 9.190806
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.389098 3.095999 4.024212 5.356526 7.260690 9.949273 14.154586
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.966148 2.704811 3.750643 5.385524 7.965252 12.041544 19.327305
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.736901 2.508373 3.670622 5.623583 8.983027 14.858879 26.768671
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.495739 2.240739 3.417552 5.509557 9.365245 16.697383 33.248712
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.330866 2.059546 3.260373 5.507390 9.923222 19.018503 41.857481
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.185980 1.886326 3.082816 5.423236 10.290286 21.064470 50.950379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.097081 1.793120 3.025965 5.548723 11.111433 24.403901 65.529399
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.991351 1.655528 2.866183 5.435182 11.378367 26.519393 78.011816
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.957090 1.641211 2.933402 5.803581 12.864031 32.425374 108.071004
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.912025 1.600377 2.941740 6.044582 14.113716 38.281013 144.111661
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.871451 1.562626 2.949798 6.285891 15.444825 45.096841 192.891358
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.792925 1.451339 2.810532 6.204782 16.034202 50.457735 247.102812
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.734063 1.374631 2.739348 6.296036 17.250376 59.359751 344.452592
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.679537 1.298675 2.655572 6.331822 18.319306 68.679634 473.211082
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.647362 1.265435 2.663502 6.621564 20.407403 84.783905 726.918949
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.594478 1.179990 2.533277 6.482705 20.890921 93.523832 949.155198
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.554982 1.119551 2.454659 6.480066 21.925732 106.736980 1322.984347
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.515059 1.053406 2.351670 6.377661 22.524234 118.265312 1774.560170
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.490723 1.020541 2.329131 6.530388 24.339918 140.923801 2752.733078
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.456611 0.960703 2.226740 6.392194 24.765548 154.130267 3708.409212
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.448166 0.961640 2.288362 6.841009 28.364943 201.183951 7300.188828
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.434085 0.947006 2.304663 7.135272 31.409070 251.158656 13899.440393